The producers of "The King's Speech" should perhaps begin preparing their speeches for the February 27th Oscar telecast. Their movie is the confirmed front runner in what has been something of a horse race between what was one of the year's other favorite films, "Social Network."
At the end of this morning's announcement of nominations for the 83rd Annual Academy Awards, the little British film about stammering King George VI had nabbed 12 nominations, including those for best picture, best director (Tom Hooper), best supporting actress (Helena Bonham Carter), best supporting actor (Geoffrey Rush) and best actor (Colin Firth).
"Social Network" got the Golden Globe and many of the critics awards earlier in the season. But a win for "Speech" at the Producer's Guild last week all but solidified its place as the film to beat come Feb. 27. If history serves as an indicator, however, the likelihood that this British import will be dethroned is slim. In the last 20 years, the Producer's Guild and the Academy have agreed on the best picture selection all but seven times. And since 2007s "No Country for Old Men," they've not wavered.
With that said, I expect not many surprises come Oscar night.
The top prizes will go like this:
Firth should and will win the Oscar for best picture.
Natalie Portman ("Black Swan") should and will win the Oscar for best actress.
Melissa Leo ("The Fighter") will win the Oscar for supporting actress, though this award should perhaps go to her co-star Amy Adams.
And Christian Bale ("The Fighter") should and will win for supporting actor.
The directing award will go to David Fincher for "Social Network."
At the end of this morning's announcement of nominations for the 83rd Annual Academy Awards, the little British film about stammering King George VI had nabbed 12 nominations, including those for best picture, best director (Tom Hooper), best supporting actress (Helena Bonham Carter), best supporting actor (Geoffrey Rush) and best actor (Colin Firth).
"Social Network" got the Golden Globe and many of the critics awards earlier in the season. But a win for "Speech" at the Producer's Guild last week all but solidified its place as the film to beat come Feb. 27. If history serves as an indicator, however, the likelihood that this British import will be dethroned is slim. In the last 20 years, the Producer's Guild and the Academy have agreed on the best picture selection all but seven times. And since 2007s "No Country for Old Men," they've not wavered.
With that said, I expect not many surprises come Oscar night.
The top prizes will go like this:
Firth should and will win the Oscar for best picture.
Natalie Portman ("Black Swan") should and will win the Oscar for best actress.
Melissa Leo ("The Fighter") will win the Oscar for supporting actress, though this award should perhaps go to her co-star Amy Adams.
And Christian Bale ("The Fighter") should and will win for supporting actor.
The directing award will go to David Fincher for "Social Network."
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